Monday, April 30, 2007
David Wright and Carlos Delgado can go fuck themselves. On a side note Carlos Delgado lives in the building next to me (also on the same block as the Cory Lidle building- please don't stalk Rory B. Bellows or eat my liver with some fava beans and a nice chianti.)
The point is that David Wright (who Rory's college roomie met at a boxing fight over the summer), Carlos Delgado and Chan Ho Park can all insert the lifeline exercises into their respective anuses!
Friday, April 27, 2007
Thursday, April 26, 2007
Wednesday, April 25, 2007
Monday, April 23, 2007
By the way, does anyone else think Entourage completely sucks? Theres not much else on after the Sopranos but without Ari's 2 minutes of mandatory bigotry every episode that show is pretty worthless to me. And of course this didn't help.
Sunday, April 22, 2007
Two more quick-hits on today's game:
1- Smoltz's barehanded stab and throw from the hole (I didn't even know there was a hole between the pitcher's mound and 3B) on Glavine's nubber in the bottom of the 5th was just a spectacular play. I'll try to link to the play-by-play of this gem after the game.
2- I almost like it when the other team leads off with a hit (in today's case a homerun). Otherwise I spend the whole time up until the first hit thinking that today is finally the day that the franchise gets off the schneid.
Saturday, April 21, 2007
Today we salute you, Mr. wait until after you've left the Mets to make an All-Star team.
Not wanting to draw attention in the big city, you kept your OPS well under .800 for your
3 spectacular full Mets seasons. You led the league however in the stat that REALLY counts.
In 1987, you were the youngest player in baseball. Now that's real prodigal status. So here's
to you, my hero, Gregg Jefferies.
Friday, April 20, 2007
Well... mebbe a lil'bit.
For starters, our BABIP is waaaaay too high (.359 vs NL ave of .294) meaning we're getting lucky and should expect our sparkling team BA of .303 to comeback to earth fairly quickly. Also our isolated slugging is merely good (.156 v .137 league) so our power isn't necessarily going to pick up the slack if and when our OBP declines due to the inflated BA.
On the positive side, our defensive has been absolutely silly +22 fielding runs (league average? minus 22). However, our crazy good D does mean our incredible team ERA of 2.40 plummets to 4.54 when viewed independent of fielding (first to worst!).
All this is nitpicking, however, and doesn't change the fact that we are an unstoppable Juggernaut of pain and destruction stampeding toward a 3 game collision with the soon to be devastated Atlanta Braves.
Get ready to taste it, Atlantards.
Wednesday, April 18, 2007
Traded with Gene Walter (who would go on to pitch less than 17 innings for the Mets) and Adam Ging (who never made the majors), from the San Diego Padres, to the Mets in exchange for Kevin Mitchell, Stan Jefferson (who was basically a part-time player for 6 seasons in MLB) and Shawn Abner (another part-time player for 6 seasons in MLB) on Dec. 11, 1986.
Although McReynolds was actually quite a nice player during his time with the Mets (posting OPS+'s of 117, 142, 125, 121, 108 from 1987-1991), he will forever be remembered as the player for whom the Mets traded Kevin Mitchell (career OPS+ 142 in 13 MLB seasons).
The only year when this trade was a victory for the Mets was 1988 when Mitchell's OPS+ was "only" 121, while McReynolds' was 142. The Mets would go on to lose to Orel "F**in" Hershiser in the NLCS. Thereafter Mitchell would go on to be league MVP (not a great metric for establishing greatness, I know, but still he was really good) and one of the most prolific HR hitters of the late 80's/early 90's.
Thus in 1991, coming of an average season (OPS+ 108), the Mets decided to package him, Gregg Jefferies and Keith Miller (who would play part-time in parts of his 4 remaining MLB seasons) for Bret Saberhagen and Bill Pecota (who would OPS+ 69 in part-time action for the Mets in 1992).
Saberhagen was mostly hurt in 3.5 years with the Mets, although he did post an ERA+ of of 152 in 177 IP in 1994. McReynolds had an adequate year in 1992, posting an OPS+ of 115 and then was basically a non-factor thereafter, retiring in 1994 (after being traded back to the Mets for Vince Coleman, in the only trade McReynolds was involved in that wasn't a disaster for the Mets). Jefferies, however, would go on to have a fine 14 year career, with a career OPS+ of 106, and career OBP of .344. Jefferies best years came in 1993 and 1994 as a member of the St. Louis Cardinals (OPS+ of 141 and 130, respectively).
So in sum Kevin McReynolds, although he had a couple of nice years for the Mets, was a big piece of crap who screwed us not once, but twice. Thanks, Jerk!
On a side note, after the game Charlie Manuel offered to fight local radio host, Howard Eskin. I'd give him about another month before he gets fired. It's nice to see the Phillies crapping the bed this early. Now to take care of the Braves over the weekend.
Tuesday, April 17, 2007
This past weekend, one of my friends from college, Mr. Spluge (not exactly his real name), was in town, DC, for one of his friends’ bachelor party. After getting good and sloshed at one of Washington’s finest gentleman’s club Saturday evening, Spluge retired to his swank DuPont hotel, which, apparently, was also the preferred lodging for sports journalist and TV personality Jay Mariotti, presumably in town for the Bulls v. ‘Zards matchup.
Spluge recounts his lobby rendezvous with Mariotti thusly:
Spluge: Hey you're that ESPN guy.
Mariotti: No, that's not me. Nope. Definitely not that guy.
S: Yeah its you, I can tell. Don't lie to me, you're definitely that guy on around the horn.
M: Yeah whatever.
S: Man, you look wasted. Are you sure ESPN would approve of this Michael Irvin-esque level of intoxication?
M: Yeah cause you look REAL sober yourself.
S: Man you're just as big of a dick in person as you are on TV.
M: Look at your hat, it says LSU. You're never going to accomplish anything in life. Everyone from down there are idiots and it’s a terrible school.
At that point our equally sloshed friend ‘Fat Andy’ decided he has heard enough and stepped menacingly toward Jay and warned, “Don't fucking talk shit to my friend.”
Mariotti wisely turned tail and fled “like a little girl.” I would too, Fat Andy’s appearance is not unlike that of Mustard Man (see below).
Spluge’s calls of "ESPN Man, come back!” went unanswered
I admit, without pics the whole tale is a bit dubious, but Spluge is as big a sports fan as they come and would defintiley recognize Mariotti. And can’t you just picture this all going down like so? (Spluge is a guy, by the way, who earlier that weekend was forced to weather a furious admonishment from an irate cab driver after he had given the driver $20 bucks on a 12 dollar fare and told him to ‘keep the change, you filthy animal’).
And just because I took the time to make this insanely clever and hilarious Photoshops/MSPaint of my friend Spluge, I’ll post here in lieu of pics from the Mariotti incident.
Monday, April 16, 2007
WOULD YOU DO THIS TRADE?
3B, 24 y/o, 6 Years/$55MM(through 2012)
2004: 263 AB, 857 OPS, 14 HR, 6 SB, -8 FRAA
2005: 575 AB, 911 OPS, 27 HR, 17 SB, 3 FRAA
2006: 582 AB, 912 OPS, 26 HR, 20 SB, 9 FRAA
2007: 42 AB, 856 OPS, 0 HR, 3 SB, 0 FRAA
2B, 28 y/o, 7 Years/$85MM (through 2013)
2003: 134 AB, 695 OPS, 2 HR, 2 SB, 3 FRAA
2004: 267 AB, 776 OPS, 13 HR, 4 SB, 4 FRAA
2005: 543 AB, 916 OPS, 28 HR, 16 SB, -1 FRAA
2006: 658 AB, 906 OPS, 32 HR, 15 SB, -10 FRAA
2007: 46 AB, 874 OPS, 2 HR, 0 SB, 1 FRAA
My hypothesis, before this little experiment, was that Player 2 is the better player and I'd rather have him on my team than Player 1. After doing this experiment, I think I'll take Player 1. Cheaper, younger and just as good, if not better, although he plays a position at which it's a little easier to find offensive talent. As you've probably guessed Player 1 is David Wright and Player 2 is Chase Utley.
It occurred to me last week that I really think Utley is a great player, while Wright has been playing terribly as of late. It seems we just get into ruts while watching our own team. It was time to take a little step back, and look from afar and realize, "Hey- we've got a great young 3rd Baseman." Anyone think that Utley's value at 2nd base outweighs Wright's age and palatable contract?
Also- Utley's WARP last year was 7.8, while Wright's was 9.0; both solid numbers from two solid players. Now to get back to cheering for Wright and realizing how good we Mets fans have it at the hot corner.
"i deleted it because it was not civil and did nothing to promote discussion. why do you bother wasting your time on a sucky blog written by a pussy?
also, anyone is free to disagree with me on the blog. only one rule: they have to have to express it like an intelligent adult. your post failed that test "
what a bitch. At least he admits he is a pussy who writes a sucky blog.
Sunday, April 15, 2007
I was going to take this time to do a 'how are we doing' analysis but I'd rather use this time to download some porno. So the quick & dirty: We're at a 40% chance to make the post season, our team ERA+ plus leads the league (still too many BB) and our team OPS+ is fourth in the league. Slugging is down so if we start launching more ding dongs we'll be doing even better (ok, yeah - file that under duh). In summation, enjoy your lead while you can, bravos. Stupid jerk bravos.
Friday, April 13, 2007
Also, surprisingly the Mets have been quite unlucky to be only 6-3. Their Pythagorean W-L is 8-1, they've scored the 2nd most runs in either league and have let up the 2nd fewest runs in either league. In short, things are going well in Queens (despite the HORRIFIC parking- CitiField has taken up 2/3 of the non-prepaid lot and with the pre-paid oversold, well... let's just say Rory recommends taking the 7 and LIRR to the games this year. Ahh- but I digress.)
Mike Pelfrey's first start of the year tonight vs. John Patterson. All Pelfrey really has to do is keep the ball down and throw strikes. The Mets will score a ton of runs against this team. The over/under is 9, and it's not because the Nats are a run-scoring machine.
I understand Shawn Green used to be good, and I would have loved to have had him in the outfield during his PED taking, 40 ding dong knocking days (certainly over, say, timo perez & company). But those days are over and now it's time for the Hammerin Hebrew to shuffle off to South Beach and make way for future. Seriously, how can you get in the way of a kid who has so clearly gotten his grown man on?
FREE LASTINGS MILLEDGE
Oh, and a note to the Rutgers women's basketball team. I would feel a lot sorrier for you if you hadn't BLOWN IT BIG TIME IN THE FINALS AND LOST TO THE TENESSEE ASSHOLE VOLUNTARDS. Way to represent the great state of New Jersey, you spectacular losers. You dirty bitches. You ugly ugly lesbians.
I can't believe I watched a whole women's college basketball game.
R-U! R-U! R-U! R-U!
Tuesday, April 10, 2007
Mets: 160 - 2
Braves: (-5,000) - your mother
Redskins: crushed in the Meadowlands by the Green Machine
I've been biting my tongue on this for awhile, but Willie Randolph is just not a good game manager. Evidence:
1- Mets up 2-1, Bottom of the 4th, 2 outs, John Maine up with runners on first and second. Keep in mind Maine had struggled mightily in the previous 2 innings. In the top of the inning Maine had loaded the bases with 0 outs and then worked out of it, and his pitch count was just shy of 90. Of course, Willie lets Maine strikeout and then yanks him 2/3 of an inning later.
2- Mets up 3-2, Top of the 6th, Ambiorix Burgos pitching to Ryan Howard, runners on 2nd and 3rd with two outs. Willie himself, not Rick Peterson, comes out to talk to Burgos, presumably to tell him not to give Howard anything to hit with a base open. Well, Burgos has never averaged anything less than a walk every other inning, and let up a staggering 16 HR in only 73 IP last year, obviously he doesn't have pinpoint control. Of course he hangs a splitter/slider (I don't know which because it didn't split or slide) and Howard deposits it over the right field fence for a 5-3 Phillie lead. WALK RYAN HOWARD WITH FIRST BASE OPEN, YOU MORON!
3- Mets down 5-4, Bottom of the 8th, runners on 1st and 2nd, 0 outs, Jose Valentin up. First off Willie decides to pinch-run Endy Chavez for Shawn Green. Not a move I would've made, but ok. Then Willie bunts Jose Valentin, to move the runners up to 2nd and 3rd with 1 out. THIS IS A TERRIBLE PLAY! The expected run value of runners on 1st and 2nd with 0 outs is 1.47, the expected run value of runners on 2nd and 3rd with 1 out is 1.41. So, in short (without looking at the likelihoods of scoring 1 or 2 runs specifically in each situation) YOU'RE BETTER OFF NOT BUNTING IF YOUR GOAL IS TO SCORE RUNS. Also- all of that presupposes that Valentin successfully gets the bunt down and Moises Alou successfully runs the bases. Needless to say Valentin bunts too hard, Geoff Geary makes a great play off the mound and guns down Alou at 3B. Expected run value of 1st and 2nd with 1 out is .91. So Willie/Valentin/Alou cost us a half-run, attempting to gain -.06 runs. UGH!
4- Mets down 5-4, Bottom of the 8th, runners on 1st and 2nd, 1 out Pedro Feliciano up. The very next batter after the bunting debacle, Willie decides to pinch-hit Julio Franco (spring OPS .734) instead of Lastings Milledge (spring OPS .974). Again I understand small sample size, and I know that Milledge's 2006 Major League Equivalents weren't exactly Hall of Fame caliber, but come on. Milledge should've been starting yesterday instead of Green. It was a day game after a travel day, with a left-handed pitcher starting for the Phils. What does Milledge have to do in order to get some playing time?! Did he sleep with Randolph's wife or something? What the hell?!
This stuff all comes out in the wash on this day, because the Mets would go on to score 7 runs in the inning; but over the long run making bad baseball decisions, particularly those that hurt your team's offensive goal of scoring runs, will cost the Mets wins. I also understand the values of things like instilling confidence in your players, handling the media well, taking good photographs, shielding your players from blame, etc... But, in the end I still can't help but think that it shouldn't be too hard for a manager to not hurt his team's chances of scoring runs.
Monday, April 9, 2007
Sunday, April 8, 2007
FUCK NO. Time to go drop our nuts on the Phils and wait for Friday Apr 20, when the Bravos come to Shea. In the meantime 5 games with the Phils (should end their season), a series with the Nats (Sorry Manny Acta), and a two-game set against the Marlins (likeable team, but too young).
PREPARE TO TASTE OUR SCHWEDDY BALLS, PHILLIES!
Friday, April 6, 2007
What a dick.
However, it did at least help me realize the our mini NLCS revenge was merely a tune up for the real series. Tonight we travel to the pubic bone of the East coast to obliterate Los Bravos Fagortos. Lets keep our eye on the prize and our hate keenly focused. Fuck you, Braves, you fucking fucks.
Also this is off topic but everyone needs to get their asses directly to (Butt) Whole Foods like RIGHT NOW. They are having an unbelievable sale. Check it out:
Wednesday, April 4, 2007
Thus, I am now rooting for Maine to continue his dominance (it's the 4th inning and I won't say what type of game he has going now, but it hearkens back to a late 80's/early 90's WWF wrestler), and for the Mets to break through against the Cardinals bullpen.
PS- The 2007 MLB Payrolls were just released, and the Mets come in at a pedestrian $115MM (3rd highest in the league). These figures may be the basis of an upcoming post...look out!
Tuesday, April 3, 2007
In short we kicked ass. Unlike the Slut Louis Cardin-a-holes. Nice catch at the warning track So Tagaychi. That was was a great Endy Chavez impression... NOT.
Ruh-Roh. You make a bad pray!
You know who else kicks ass? Down. I just saw them play last night and they were fucking rockin like Moroccans. Check it out.
You know who couldn't be in this metal super group? Anyone on the Braves. Not in a band with 2 ex members of Pantera and Pepper Keenen of Corrosion of Conformity on lead guitar. I don't think so Braves. Nice try. Pussies.
Monday, April 2, 2007
YES! "Hmm... Go ahead, wear a blue blazer over an orange polo. I'M KEITH HERNANDEZ!!!"
Sunday, April 1, 2007
Upon opening today's paper to scour for the police blotter, I came across a heinous egregious felonious act. Vegas has placed the odds of the Mets winning the World Series at 5-1. Even 1-5 odds would be easy money, but FIVE TO ONE. Vegas is saying there's an 80% chance that Jose Reyes will not have a World Series MVP trophy come late November.
There are two people who will be partying harder than the soon-to-be all time stolen base leader at the end of this season, 1. me after cashing in my gambling ticket hence quintupling my money, 2. David Wright.
I could have ended my day having already witnessed my quota for shit-that's-fucked-up. But to no avail. Not only were the Mets dissed with the aforementioned odds, Vegas had the gaul to list one other team with even better odds. With 3-1 odds, drumroll please..........THOSE DILDOS FROM THE BRONX.
There's nothing more I enjoy than watching our boys from Flushing flush down the rest of the MLB, but hating the Yankees comes in a close second. The Yankees are 3-1 odds to win the World Series. Where Vegas gets off thinking the Yanks will make it out of the ALDS is one thing, but placing the highest odds in the hands of this:
I'll see you on the mound after game 6 of the 2007 WS, victoriously holding my ticket. The Mets climactically would have done this in game 7, but we had to push the celebration forward, since Trevor Hoffman blew the fucking All-Star game again.
Chris Carpenter- 2006 ERA+ 143, WOW. This guy is unquestionably great and a steal at 5 years $63MM
Kip Wells- 2006 ERA+ 70, also WOW, but only 44 innings. Career ERA+ is 99 (IE- just below league average). $4MM/1 year, not a bad contract for a guy who averages 187 IP.
Anthony Reyes- 2006 ERA+ 87 (IE- significantly below league average). $362K/1 year, not bad either.
Adam Wainwright- 2006 ERA+ 141. Career 130 ERA+ in 77 IP. $419K/1 year, another good contract.
Braden Looper- 2006 ERA+ 124, career ERA+ 118 (all 608 of his career IP have come from the pen). $13.5MM/3 yr, not awful, if he can eat 150 IP or so.
A tremendous number of question marks on the staff. The Cards are going to have to significantly outproduce their 781 runs scored of a year ago in order to be successful this year. In fact, I'll say that they need at least 800 runs to win that division.
I think it's high time we got rid of these Native American mascots, no?
NOW FOR THE PREVIEW. This is Rory B. Bellows Official Predictive Box Score (Including Predicted Lineup) for Tonight's Contest:
1- Reyes SS 2-4, 1 BB, 3 SB, 1 HR, 5 RsBI
2- Wright 3B 5-5, 0 BB, 2 SB, 5 HR, 10 RsBI
3- Beltran CF 3-3, 2 BB, 4 SB, 1 HR, 7 RsBI
4- Delgado 1B 0-0, 5 BB, 1 SB, 0 HR, 5 RsBI (all intentional walks with the bases loaded)
5- Alou LF 2-5, 0 BB, 0 SB, 0 HR, 2 RsBI
6- Green RF 0-1, 0 BB, 0 SB, 0 HR, 0 RsbI
Milledge RF 4-4, 0 BB, 6 SB, 4 HR, 16 RsBI
7- LoDuca C 0-5, 0 BB, 0 SB, 0 HR, 0 RsBi
8- Valentin 2B 1-1. 4 BB, 4 SB, 0 HR, 3 RsBI
9- Glavine P 0-0, 5 Sac
9 IP, 27 K's, 0 H, 0 BB, 0 ER (First perfect game in team history!)